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Record number of cafes and restaurants going out of business

18 February, 2026

Australian households are increasingly turning away from cafes and restaurants, with new data revealing a record number of food service businesses have shut their doors over the past year.

According to CreditWatch’s January Business Risk Index, 10.4 per cent of food service companies collapsed in the past 12 months — the highest failure rate of any industry and nearly double the economy-wide average. The figures paint a stark picture of the mounting pressure facing operators across the hospitality sector.

By contrast, pubs, clubs and bars have proven more resilient. Their annual failure rate sits closer to 8 per cent, significantly lower than that of cafes and restaurants. Analysts attribute this relative stability to stronger cash flows, diversified revenue streams and the asset backing many licensed venues possess.

CreditWatch said the data highlights a widening divide within hospitality, effectively creating a two-speed industry of winners and losers.

Financial stress indicators reinforce that assessment. In the food service sector, 12.4 per cent of business-to-business invoices are now more than 60 days overdue — more than double the national average of 5.9 per cent. Late payments at that scale can severely restrict working capital, limiting the ability of small operators to manage wages, rent and supplier costs.

Meanwhile, pubs and clubs reported overdue invoices of just 3.1 per cent, suggesting stronger balance sheets and a greater capacity to absorb rising input costs, including food, utilities and labour.

Industry observers say household budget pressures are playing a decisive role. With cost-of-living concerns persisting, many consumers appear to be moderating discretionary spending. Dining out at cafes and mid-range restaurants is increasingly being replaced by more cost-controlled social options, including pub venues that offer gaming facilities, promotions and bundled food-and-drink deals.

The latest figures follow ongoing debate over hospitality taxation settings, including calls for reform of Australia’s beer excise system. While some tax relief measures have been welcomed by venue operators, sector representatives argue structural cost pressures remain unresolved.

For independent cafe owners already operating on thin margins, the environment is becoming increasingly unforgiving. Without a sustained improvement in consumer spending or meaningful cost relief, further closures across the food service segment may be difficult to avoid.

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