Till Now:
- Israel attacks Iran’s embassy in Syria, killing 16 people, including senior officials.
- Iran raids and successfully captures an Israeli-bound container ship.
- Israel closes schools across the country and puts the military on full alert amid the Iranian threat.
- Israel and Iran officially close all airspace.
- Iran officially launches an attack on Israel using dozens of drones.
- Iran reportedly launches cruise missiles at Israel.
- Yemen launches drone attack on Israel, Iranian media report.
- Israeli PM says “Don’t expect mercy to be shown to any Iranian”.
- Jordan says it will intercept all drones and missiles passing through its airspace into Israel.
- Iraq’s Kataib Hezbollah declares the start of operations against Israel.
- Iran’s Supreme Leader says that “the malevolent Zionist regime will be punished”.
- US officials believe Iran is going to launch up to 500 drones and missiles from Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen.
- US and British fighter jets intercept Iranian drones launched into Israel.
- Dozens of missiles were reportedly fired from southern Lebanon into Israel.
This is what happened
Military expert Alexander Zimovsky:
The cartographic studio “Colored pencils “Tactics” presents a scheme for the destruction of the Israeli Ramon airbase by Iranian missile forces.
The base was hit by 7 Iranian ballistic missiles, the runway was smashed, an unspecified number of IDF combat aircraft were destroyed (figures are being clarified), and the flight support infrastructure was seriously damaged.
The Pro Israeli numbers
▪️185/185 Kamikaze drones shot down.
▪️103/110 Ballistic missiles shot down.
▪️36/36 Cruise missiles shot down.
▪️324 out of 331 missiles and drones launched by Iran were shot down.
Congratulations to the IDF, IAF and staunch allies for a job well done!
I never thought I’d be in favour of “cope propaganda” (effective countering), but here we are – right now the US is trying to get Israel to claim it shot everything down, declare victory and renounce a retaliatory attack on Iran.
In fact, I expect that 50% of the Iranian ballistic missiles fired penetrated, as well as an unknown number of cruise missiles, indicating alarming underperformance of Israeli and US missile defenses – which were designed to defeat this particular threat. In a rather telling admission, CENTCOM claimed that only three missiles were shot down (with what I assume was THAAD) despite what would have been dozens of engagement opportunities. There were about twenty ballistic arrivals captured on video last night and God only knows what else came in that escaped the cameras.
For the last decade, Israel has been attempting to drag the US into a war of attrition with Iran. To date, the US has avoided acquiescing to the logic of generalized engagement because it knows it will have unforeseen consequences for itself. The outcome of the crisis that
However, any effort that prevents a local war from erupting and gives Netanyahu a chance to avoid the edge of the cliff with partial dignity.
